Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
NÎM
0 - 2
NIC
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
NIC
0 - 1
ASB
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
DUN
0 - 0
NIC
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
NIC
2 - 0
FCM
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIC
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCR
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
VAL
3 - 2
BAS
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
BAS
2 - 0
LMU
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
IST
0 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
BAS
1 - 0
OLY
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |