Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
LYO
5 - 1
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
NIC
1 - 2
LIL
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
ASN
3 - 2
NIC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
NIC
1 - 1
PSG
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
NIC
1 - 1
GIR
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 1
ASN
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
GIR
0 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
BAS
0 - 1
TOU
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
NÎM
3 - 2
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 2
STL
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |