Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
ASN
3 - 0
NIC
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
NIC
2 - 2
LYO
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
SED
0 - 5
NIC
36%
29%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
NIC
3 - 2
PFC
81%
13%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1972 |
NÎM
0 - 1
NIC
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
BAS
3 - 0
NÎM
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
SED
2 - 1
BAS
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
BAS
2 - 0
ANG
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1972 |
GIR
1 - 1
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1972 |
BAS
3 - 0
RED
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |