Nice vs Avignon AS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
STR
2 - 2
NIC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 2
NAN
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
LYO
1 - 0
NIC
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
NIC
1 - 0
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
TRO
2 - 2
NIC
45%
26%
28%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 3
ASS
20%
28%
53%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
LEN
3 - 1
ASA
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
ASA
0 - 1
MET
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
REI
4 - 1
ASA
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
STR
4 - 0
ASA
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |