Nice vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MPL
1 - 0
NIC
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PLA
2 - 1
NIC
13%
23%
64%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 2
USB
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
NIC
28%
29%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 0
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
AUX
0 - 0
USB
65%
23%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
AMI
0 - 1
AUX
25%
27%
48%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
AUX
68%
19%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
AUX
1 - 1
TFC
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
AUX
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |