Nice vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 0
LHA
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ARR
1 - 3
NIC
10%
22%
68%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
TFC
2 - 2
NIC
39%
30%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 1
LIL
42%
29%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 0
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
AUX
0 - 2
MAR
31%
29%
41%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
AUX
18%
24%
58%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
AUX
1 - 2
PSG
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 0
AUX
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |