Nice vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 2
NIC
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
MPL
2 - 2
NIC
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 2
MON
18%
26%
56%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MET
1 - 0
NIC
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
AUX
2 - 0
NAN
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
LEN
1 - 3
AUX
41%
28%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
AUX
1 - 1
AJA
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
LMU
2 - 1
AUX
24%
29%
46%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
AUX
2 - 1
SOC
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |