Nice vs Angouleme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
NÎM
2 - 0
NIC
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
NIC
0 - 1
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
ASS
2 - 2
NIC
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
GIR
2 - 1
NIC
65%
20%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
NIC
1 - 0
RED
64%
21%
14%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
ANG
1 - 1
ASN
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
LIL
4 - 2
ANG
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1971 |
ANG
3 - 0
GIR
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
ANG
8 - 1
ANG
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
ANG
0 - 0
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |