Nice vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
LMU
1 - 1
NIC
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 0
SOC
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
AUX
1 - 2
NIC
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 0
NIC
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 0
BRE
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 3
NAN
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
LMU
0 - 1
AJA
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
MET
0 - 1
AJA
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 0
STR
34%
28%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2003 |
LIL
2 - 0
AJA
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |