Nice vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
LMU
1 - 0
NIC
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
NIC
4 - 1
GRE
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
LUS
0 - 2
NIC
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASS
21%
26%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 0
NIC
54%
24%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 1
FCG
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
FCM
0 - 1
AJA
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 1
IST
56%
25%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
AMI
1 - 1
AJA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
GRE
0 - 1
AJA
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |