Nice vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
AMI
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 1
ASS
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
FCG
2 - 0
NIC
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
LIL
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 1
ASS
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
LIL
1 - 3
AJA
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 3
FCG
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1998 |
RED
1 - 1
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
GUI
4 - 1
AJA
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |