Nice vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1972 |
REI
2 - 3
NIC
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1972 |
NIC
4 - 1
SOC
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1972 |
NAN
4 - 0
NIC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
NIC
4 - 0
NÎM
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1972 |
BAS
3 - 3
NIC
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1972 |
AJA
0 - 2
STR
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1972 |
ANG
4 - 0
AJA
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1972 |
MON
2 - 2
AJA
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
AJA
2 - 0
LYO
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1972 |
NÎM
2 - 0
AJA
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |