UCL 1/16
Global 6-2
Nice vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
NIC
1 - 1
RAC
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1956 |
AGF
1 - 1
NIC
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
MAR
3 - 1
NIC
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
LEN
6 - 1
NIC
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1956 |
NIC
4 - 2
SOC
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1956 |
AGF
1 - 1
NIC
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1955 |
REI
2 - 2
AGF
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1955 |
AGF
0 - 2
REI
45%
22%
33%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |