Nice U19 vs Toulouse U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
9º
9º
34
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MGG
2 - 0
NIC
30%
22%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 0
NIC
22%
21%
58%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 2
ETI
41%
23%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 1
NIC
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
TOU
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 2
TOU
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TOU
2 - 1
OLY
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 2
TOU
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 0
TOU
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |