Nice U17 vs Valence U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
9º
1º
29
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 29 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
79.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
0 - 7
NIC
18%
19%
64%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
6 - 1
CAS
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STN
0 - 2
NIC
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 3
NIC
29%
21%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
5 - 0
GRE
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valence U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 2
SPR
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 2
VAL
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 2
MON
16%
19%
66%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
VAL
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 6
AJA
16%
19%
66%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |