Nice II vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
59.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CON
3 - 2
NIC
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
NIC
3 - 3
FRE
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 0
PON
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MOA
1 - 0
NIC
61%
21%
17%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 1
FCM
63%
21%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 2
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 1
OLY
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SAI
0 - 1
SPO
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |