Nice II vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
NIC
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FCM
3 - 2
NIC
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 1
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
NIC
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 2
NIC
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 1
TAR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
ROD
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PAU
3 - 2
SPO
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
HYE
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |