Nice II vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MGG
3 - 0
NIC
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 0
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LEP
0 - 2
NIC
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 2
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ROD
1 - 1
NIC
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 2
SÈT
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
COL
33%
27%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
FRE
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MGG
1 - 2
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |