Nice II vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
3 - 0
NIC
77%
17%
6%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 0
NIC
35%
26%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
NIC
6 - 1
GAR
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 2
NIC
43%
27%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
NIC
3 - 1
NIM
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 2
FRE
69%
19%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPO
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 1
VEN
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 2
SPO
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
HYE
2 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |