Nice II vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NIC
4 - 1
BAL
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
NIC
1 - 0
MON
31%
28%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
EPM
2 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 0
TOU
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 0
SPO
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 1
GAP
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ALB
3 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 1
AND
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |