Nice II vs Menton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
NIC
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
UZE
2 - 1
NIC
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 1
TRI
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NIM
1 - 1
NIC
34%
27%
38%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Menton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 2
AJA
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
ROM
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 2
FUR
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ROM
2 - 0
GRA
32%
25%
44%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |