Nice II vs Propriano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
3 - 2
NIC
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 1
CHA
28%
27%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 1
SAI
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FUR
1 - 1
NIC
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 1
SPO
29%
27%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Propriano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 0
FRE
35%
25%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GAR
2 - 1
PRO
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 2
VEN
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 1
PRO
83%
13%
4%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 0
EVI
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |