Nice II vs US Le Pontet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TAR
1 - 1
NIC
44%
26%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 2
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MON
3 - 3
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 1
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BEZ
0 - 0
NIC
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LEP
2 - 1
ROD
24%
24%
51%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FCM
1 - 0
LEP
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
LEP
0 - 2
CAN
23%
26%
51%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LEP
1 - 0
PAU
37%
27%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
TAR
0 - 1
LEP
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |