Nice II vs US Le Pontet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
RAC
2 - 3
NIC
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 2
MON
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
BRC
1 - 2
NIC
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 1
JUR
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
SAI
3 - 1
NIC
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
LEP
0 - 0
GAP
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
OLY
3 - 0
LEP
59%
22%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SOC
0 - 1
LEP
35%
25%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
LEP
0 - 0
FCM
17%
26%
57%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
LEP
1 - 1
MON
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |