Nice II vs GOAL FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LEP
3 - 1
NIC
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 1
HYE
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SÈT
3 - 2
NIC
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 2
OLY
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
HYE
1 - 0
MOA
58%
24%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOA
0 - 1
OLY
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 0
MOA
65%
22%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MOA
0 - 1
GRE
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAI
0 - 1
MOA
50%
25%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |