Nice II vs Monaco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
CAS
2 - 0
NIC
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 1
LYO
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NIC
0 - 1
LEP
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
RAC
2 - 3
NIC
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
FCM
18%
26%
56%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
FRE
2 - 0
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MON
2 - 0
LYO
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |