Nice II vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
54%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
NIC
0 - 1
EPM
66%
20%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
FRE
0 - 0
NIC
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 2
GAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SAE
1 - 0
NIC
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
TOU
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 3
GAP
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
3 - 4
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
AND
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |