Nice II vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NIC
0 - 1
LEP
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
RAC
2 - 3
NIC
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 2
MON
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
BRC
1 - 2
NIC
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
LYO
0 - 0
STR
12%
23%
66%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
FCM
1 - 1
LYO
71%
20%
9%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
LYO
1 - 0
SOC
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LYO
2 - 1
TFC
13%
24%
64%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MON
2 - 0
LYO
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |