Nice II vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 1
NIC
53%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
SAI
2 - 2
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
NIC
0 - 0
GAP
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
MON
2 - 1
NIC
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
GAZ
1 - 0
FRE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
GAZ
1 - 0
CAS
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 5
GAZ
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
GAZ
0 - 1
SAI
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
GAP
1 - 1
GAZ
37%
26%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |