Nice II vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SAE
2 - 2
NIC
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
NIC
3 - 1
LEP
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ARL
1 - 0
NIC
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 1
AGD
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAB
3 - 1
NIC
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ETG
1 - 0
GAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 0
ETG
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ETG
2 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SAI
2 - 0
ETG
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ETG
0 - 1
GAP
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |