Nice II vs Evian Thonon Gaillard II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 0
NIC
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 2
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PRO
2 - 0
NIC
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NIC
4 - 3
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
NIC
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
EVI
2 - 1
FRE
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
GAR
2 - 4
EVI
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
EVI
0 - 1
VEN
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
EVI
82%
14%
4%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
EVI
74%
18%
8%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | -1 |