Nice II vs EF Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 0
NIC
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
NIC
0 - 5
CON
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 2
NIC
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 1
MON
21%
25%
55%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NIC
0 - 0
COR
41%
26%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
EF Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EFB
1 - 1
COR
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FUR
0 - 1
EFB
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EFB
1 - 1
GAR
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
EFB
1 - 2
BOR
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
EFB
1 - 0
NIM
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |