Nice II vs Manosque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SRA
1 - 0
NIC
39%
27%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
NIC
3 - 0
TRI
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NIM
3 - 1
NIC
21%
26%
54%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 2
LEP
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 1
NIC
17%
25%
59%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Manosque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
EPM
1 - 1
COR
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
EPM
2 - 1
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
UZE
6 - 1
EPM
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
EPM
0 - 2
ROM
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
EPM
56%
23%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |