Nice II vs Cassis-Carnoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
13º
13º
25
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 1
NIC
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 3
RSV
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 2
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NIC
5 - 0
CBL
71%
16%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
SCR
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
CAS
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 2
LUC
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RSV
1 - 0
CAS
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
CAS
3 - 0
ETG
20%
27%
54%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -4 |