Nice II vs Cassis-Carnoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LYO
3 - 1
NIC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
AGD
1 - 4
NIC
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CAS
2 - 0
GAP
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
OLY
2 - 2
CAS
42%
24%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCM
19%
26%
56%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |