Nice II vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
ALB
0 - 0
NIC
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
NIC
3 - 1
AND
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
CAB
1 - 1
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
NIC
3 - 2
SPO
31%
27%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 0
COR
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
IVR
32%
26%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
IFS
3 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
VCH
30%
25%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
DRO
1 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |