Nice II vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAI
1 - 2
NIC
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 0
FUR
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 0
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
5%
17%
78%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | +3 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
AUB
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 1
FRE
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 6
AUB
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
VEN
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
AUB
83%
13%
4%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | +1 |