Nice II vs Andrézieux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 2
NIC
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 1
AJA
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 6
NIC
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 1
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +3 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 2
VEN
37%
27%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Andrézieux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AND
4 - 1
BOR
57%
21%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
AND
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AND
1 - 0
ESP
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FEU
1 - 1
AND
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MON
4 - 0
AND
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |