Nice II vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 6
NIC
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 1
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +3 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 2
VEN
37%
27%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 2
NIC
90%
8%
2%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 2
EVI
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
BOR
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
AJA
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
CHA
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
COU
3 - 2
AJA
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |