Nice II vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FUR
0 - 2
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 1
GRA
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
26%
26%
47%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 2
COR
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
UZE
1 - 1
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 1
MON
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 2
ECH
42%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
GFO
2 - 0
AJA
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BOU
0 - 0
AJA
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |