Nicaragua SD vs Monzalbarba A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
50.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
9 - 0
NIC
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
NIC
73%
15%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
3 - 0
NIC
63%
19%
18%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 3
EMO
20%
20%
60%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 0
NIC
67%
17%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monzalbarba A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
MIR
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SJO
1 - 0
MON
32%
21%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MON
4 - 2
AVE
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
JOT
6 - 3
MON
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -3 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
MON
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |