Nicaragua SD vs Monzalbarba A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 0
NIC
55%
21%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 3
SAN
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 1
RHI
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ABI
2 - 2
NIC
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 0
VIL
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monzalbarba A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MON
4 - 0
VIL
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ERO
2 - 3
MON
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
EMO
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HUR
0 - 1
MON
55%
21%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MON
5 - 1
PEG
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |