Ngozi City vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ngozi City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
MSU
2 - 3
NCF
23%
21%
57%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
KAY
0 - 1
NCF
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
NCF
4 - 2
AMA
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
BUM
2 - 0
NCF
48%
22%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NCF
0 - 1
STA
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ANM
5 - 1
KAY
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 3
ANM
11%
17%
72%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ANM
0 - 0
BUM
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
STA
2 - 1
ANM
40%
27%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ANM
3 - 0
NGO
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |