NFA Kaunas vs Nevezis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NFA Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NFA
1 - 3
TRA
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 3
NEV
27%
23%
50%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
FKE
2 - 0
NEV
62%
20%
17%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NEV
1 - 0
LIE
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LIK
0 - 6
NEV
27%
24%
50%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SIL
0 - 1
NEV
16%
19%
65%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |