Newtown vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 0
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 2
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 2
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
TNS
5 - 0
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 7
TNS
11%
19%
69%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
TNS
3 - 1
BAL
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
TNS
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 8
TNS
7%
12%
81%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |