Newtown vs Port Talbot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+148%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 6
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
TNS
17%
22%
62%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 1
NEW
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
TNS
3 - 2
NEW
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 2
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
LID
2 - 2
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
AIR
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |