Newtown vs Nomads at Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 0
AIR
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAN
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 0
NEW
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 3
TNS
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 2
CON
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nomads at Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
RHY
4 - 1
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |