Newtown vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 2
NEW
85%
10%
4%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NEW
6 - 1
ABE
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
AIR
0 - 7
NEW
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
CEF
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 3
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
CEF
1 - 3
WRE
71%
18%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CEF
3 - 1
AIR
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CEF
3 - 2
LLA
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
CEF
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |