Newtown vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
4 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 0
BAL
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 0
SHA
87%
10%
3%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 0
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RHY
0 - 3
CEF
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
11%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RHA
0 - 4
CEF
10%
17%
74%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | +1 |