Newtown vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
RHY
0 - 2
NEW
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 2
LLA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 4
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NEW
4 - 1
AIR
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
CEF
1 - 2
NEW
33%
25%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 0
CEF
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
CEF
4 - 1
RHY
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
AIR
0 - 0
CEF
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
LLA
0 - 0
CEF
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
CEF
1 - 2
NEW
33%
25%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |